Inching closer towards rate cuts
Ariel Bezalel and Harry Richards say global growth will continue to slow in the coming months, dragging inflation further down, increasing the likelihood of rate cuts towards the end of the year.
No ‘fear of missing out’ on China
Jason Pidcock and Sam Konrad explain why they have no ‘fear of missing out’ over China, and why talk of a reopening boom might be overplayed.
Gold, diversification and central banks
Ned Naylor-Leyland discusses the diversification properties of gold, the recent price rally and why central banks have ramped up their purchases.
Macro monitor: Is the bond rally overdone?
Mark Nash analyses the global growth and inflation environment and what the evolving scenario means for the fixed income markets.
China reopening – why this could be positive for Europe
Caroline Cantor, Mark Heslop and Mark Nichols look at potential opportunities for European luxury and consumer goods companies from China’s lifting of Covid restrictions.
A change in fortune for bond markets?
Optimism around fixed income was rare in 2022, but there are reasons to believe 2023 may see a change in fortune for bond markets, say Ariel Bezalel and Harry Richards.
Notes from the Investment Floor: Yield is back for bonds
Vikram Aggarwal sets the scene for bond markets in 2023, as yield finally returns to the asset class. Could market fears transfer from duration to credit quality in 2023?
Outlook 2023: European banks deserve some credit
Luca Evangelisti says that European banks are much better prepared to navigate a slowing economy, and this adds to the “through the cycle” risk-adjusted appeal of CoCos.
Outlook 2023: Shunning predictions to focus on sustainable trends
The team at NZS Capital explain why they don’t make macro forecasts or try to predict when market focus will shift, but instead look for sustainable investable trends.
Outlook 2023: Recession, but that needn’t be bad for bonds
Adam Darling looks ahead to the prospect of bad economic news in 2023, but explains why he hasn’t been this optimistic about bond markets for years.