Asia Pacific equities: Enablers of the AI revolution
Jason Pidcock and Sam Konrad discuss the AI theme in the Asia Pacific (ex Japan) region and highlight where they’re finding some of the most attractive tech opportunities.
We avoid chasing short-term “wins”, instead looking for businesses that we believe have the strongest prospects over the longer term. We only invest where we have the highest conviction, though an active, unconstrained approach gives us the freedom to divest if our views change due to new information.
A huge technological transformation
We last saw a peak in the tech replacement cycle in 2020, when lockdowns were enforced globally following the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic, resulting in a huge ramp-up in technology spending. These new purchases were being made because of the situation forced upon consumers, rather than because of significant advancements that had been made in the sophistication of the technology itself.
Now, four years on from the start of Covid-19 global lockdowns, we’re approaching the point in time when we would usually expect to see another round of tech replacement, regardless of technological developments. However, given huge advancements in AI, we believe this replacement cycle will be the biggest ever and will last longer than normal. We expect new tech investments to be rolled out at an accelerated pace; over the next several years, we predict that many people globally will realise that their current tech assets have become pretty much obsolete.
Asia is leading the way
In total, we have exposure to five tech companies, four hardware companies and one services company, all of which we view as enablers of AI. Given our strengthening conviction, since the start of January, we have decided to increase the Asian Equity Income strategy’s weighting in the tech sector, so it is now our strategy’s largest sector allocation.
We believe that each of the tech companies we hold are either the best, or among the best, at what they do; as such, each is a top 10 position in the strategy. We think that these businesses complement each other well, rather than fighting over market share, so that each deserves its place in our portfolio. All of these companies have a net cash balance sheet and they offer attractive dividend yields.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC): TSMC is the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturer, with a near monopoly in leading-edge semiconductors. It manufactures 100% of Nvidia’s high-end GPUs. TSMC expects its revenue to grow 20% to 25% year-on-year in 2024.
MediaTek: MediaTek is a fabless semiconductor company which designs chips that power more than 2 billion devices a year, including smartphones, making the company the number one provider of smartphone chips globally. MediaTek recently posted better-than-expected Q4 2023 results.
Samsung Electronics: Samsung is the world’s largest memory manufacturer and is also a leading producer of smartphones, TVs and PCs. Samsung has already launched an AI feature phone, the Galaxy S24, ahead of its peers.
Hon Hai Precision: Hon Hai (Foxconn) is the world’s largest electronics manufacturer, producing everything from smartphones (it assembles roughly two thirds of all iPhones) to AI data centres.
HCL Technologies: IT services is arguably India’s most successful export sector. HCL Tech is the third largest Indian IT services company, and it has recently been outperforming its larger peers. HCL Tech is already helping its clients across the globe to utilise AI in their businesses.
These holding examples are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Winners and losers
While we are confident about the longer-term outlook for the positions we hold in the strategy, at the same time, we are cognisant of the risks that many companies and sectors could face over the coming years as their current tech becomes obsolete. Our active approach will allow us to adjust our allocations if we believe any of our investee companies are struggling to adapt effectively.
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