EMD: From peak bearishness to peak bullishness?
Alejandro Arevalo and Reza Karim explain the recent positive developments for EMD, and discuss whether they think optimism about the asset class will persist.
Notes from the Investment Floor: Moving towards a pause?
James Novotny assesses the prospects for the global economy and how that could mean for rate increases.
Inching closer towards rate cuts
Ariel Bezalel and Harry Richards say global growth will continue to slow in the coming months, dragging inflation further down, increasing the likelihood of rate cuts towards the end of the year.
No ‘fear of missing out’ on China
Jason Pidcock and Sam Konrad explain why they have no ‘fear of missing out’ over China, and why talk of a reopening boom might be overplayed.
Gold, diversification and central banks
Ned Naylor-Leyland discusses the diversification properties of gold, the recent price rally and why central banks have ramped up their purchases.
Notes from the Investment Floor: Don’t believe in immaculate tightening
Harry Richards discusses the likelihood of recession, and whether its credible that monetary policy could tighten so much without negative ramifications for the economy.
Macro monitor: Is the bond rally overdone?
Mark Nash, Huw Davies and James Novotny analyse the global growth and inflation environment and what the evolving scenario means for the fixed income markets.
China reopening – why this could be positive for Europe
Caroline Cantor, Mark Heslop and Mark Nichols look at potential opportunities for European luxury and consumer goods companies from China’s lifting of Covid restrictions.
Notes from the Investment Floor: The rise of India’s domestic investor
Avinash Vazirani discusses the role that domestic investors play in the Indian stock market, and looks at some of the tailwinds helping drive India’s economic growth.
A change in fortune for bond markets?
Optimism around fixed income was rare in 2022, but there are reasons to believe 2023 may see a change in fortune for bond markets, say Ariel Bezalel and Harry Richards.